Partial Privatization of Saudi Aramco Accounting, Finance Case Study

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This assignment is fairly unstructured. We are witnessing the privatization (or, perhaps, the attempted privatization) of what could be the largest company in the world – or, at least, the most profitable. The firm manages the world’s largest single oil production network, including both the world’s largest onshore and the world’s largest offshore network. Yet, there is huge uncertainty about the overall firm valuation, with estimates ranging from USD 1.2 trillion (Bloomberg) and USD 3 trillion (Saudi officials, at least in the past). Geopolitics are adding to the difficulty in valuing the company. Recent drone attacks attributed to Houthi rebels (or to Iran, depending on sources) have seriously disrupted operations. Fear of legal liabilities related to the 2001 terrorist attacks are complicating the process, as a US listing would subject assets to the threat of expropriation. While a brutal war in Yemen, the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, the imprisonment of members of the Saudi royal family, and a crackdown on female protesters asking for the right to drive has led to the political isolation of the current ruling regime—with the notable exception, of course, of a warm embrace by both current (and past) American administrations.

I would like you to put yourselves in the shoes of a group that was hired to consult with the Saudi Arabian government in regards to the planned privatization of Saudi Aramco.

Question: Should the firm be privatized in the first place? If so, how much of it should be sold and over which timeframe?